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欧洲科学与人文研究院院士斯蒂芬·本赫伯4月2日(本周一)下午在我系发表罗马俱乐部2007年研究报告

题目:Our Future Economy: Money and Sustainability --The Missing Links
          Follow-up Report to the Club of Rome
          我们未来的经济:金钱和持续性--消失的联系(罗马俱乐部后续报告2007年版)

时间:2007年4月2日下午2:00
地点:哲学系会议室

讲演者介绍:斯帝芬?本赫伯(Stafan Brunnhuber)生于德国奥格斯堡。医学博士、文学硕士、哲学博士(社会经济学方向,师从R. Dahrendorf。目前担任匈牙利布达佩斯PPKE大学教授,医疗保健与可持续发展问题著名专家。德国威尔茨堡大学教授,博士生导师,瑞士苏黎世卡尔荣格学院研究员,欧洲科学与艺术研究会会员,欧洲医学会委员会委员。在很多国家的大学担任访问教授。主攻精神病学和心理治疗,担任心理创伤治疗、身心疾病治疗、慢性疼痛综合症等领域高级咨询师。担任欧洲科学与人文研究院院士,是罗马俱乐部奥地利分部成员(该俱乐部是著名国际精英组织,被称为世界思想库)。已在情绪心理学、身心医学、进化经济学、整合心理学和可持续性等问题上发表著述逾150次/部。其中《高级精神病学与心理治疗》已经连续出版五次;《健康即是财富——21世纪初欧洲医疗保健策略(2004)》是欧洲医学会提交给欧盟的研究报告;《Wie wir wirtschaften werden》是欧洲科学与人文研究院第一个公开发表的研究,是Meadows“发展极限”的后续研究。

2003年获得“国际著名科学家”称号,2004年获得“终身科学奖”,2004年获得“国际和平奖”。主要研究兴趣在于社会科学(代币)和医学(CAM)的补充策略与整合策略研究。业已参加两项欧盟议会报告研究(“健康就是财富”,2004;“21世纪医学范式”,2006)。现亦担任北京中医科学院世界卫生组织(WHO)合作中心(北京)“中医与心理障碍”“临床咨询”两门课程教授。

作为一名禅宗学者,他立志研究心理、灵性、社会科学和CAM(补充医学和替代医学)的关系。目前正在全世界作演讲,介绍他关于“金融与可持续性”、“进化心理学”、“CAM”与罗马俱乐部报告的新进展(2007年出版)。

讲演提纲:

Our Future Economy: Money and Sustainability –The Missing Links
Follow-up Report to the Club of Rome

Authors: B. Lietaer / S. Brunnhuber

What was missing from the First Report to the Club of Rome, The Limits to Growth?
In their groundbreaking report, Limits to Growth (1), Dennis and Donella Meadows focused on the close connection between population growth, food production, industrial development, pollution, and the consumption of resources. In this and similar studies, “the function of money is to convey information on the relative cost and the value of this hardware … money flows are of no particular interest here, as only physical-material flow is subject to the limitations of our planet, whereas money flows are not.” (2) In other words, money is simply considered a passive unit of measurement, like the scales of Celsius or Fahrenheit for measuring temperature. Monetary processes play no independent role in such an approach. In short, it is assumed that money is and will remain neutral from both an economic and sustainability viewpoint. The balance of the new report is then dedicated to providing potential answers to one single question: How can we design a monetary system that supports instead of hinders a sustainable future for humankind?
Methodology used: This report utilizes five tools: 1) inviting input from representatives from different disciplines; 2) scenario building; 3) discrepancy analysis of monetary systems; 4) design of solutions through complementary currencies and 5) thorough reforms of the existing monetary system. Each of these approaches by itself is an exercise in critical thinking and backed up by empirical data.
Is our current monetary system sustainable? According to the generally prevailing view, the financial system is mainly a coordinating mechanism — a simple service function that supports the real economy. However, at least seven characteristics of today’s financial system reveal that it is a not neutral value.

1. Instability of the international financial system itself
2. Pro-cyclical money creation process
3. Short-term orientation
4 .Compulsory growth pressure
5. Unrelenting concentration of wealth
6. Devaluation of social capital
7. Mobility of capital vs. mobility of goods

These seven drawbacks of the present structure of the financial system are sufficient to conclude that there is some inconsistency between sustainability and our current monetary arrangements.

Key Findings:
1. Monetary markets have become systemically unstable. They show no tendency to evolve toward a state of long-term equilibrium as classic economic theory claims. Instead, they have proven to be subject to more frequent and harmful disruptions. Furthermore, trouble in a financial market creates trouble for an entire economy or even entire continents, as proven, for instance, by the monetary collapse in a dozen Asian countries during the late 1990s.

2. Our monetary and financial systems are not neutral, or said in other words, they are not value free, relative to the sustainability of the “real” economy, the economy where goods and services of both financial and non-financial nature are being produced and exchanged. On the contrary, many economic activities are deeply influenced and to a significant extent even pre-determined by the architecture of our monetary system. This applies just as much to savings and consumer habits as it does to the distribution of assets and income; the time horizon under which entrepreneurial decisions are made; the amplification or dampening of the business cycle; and, the growing gulf between industrialized and developing countries.

3. Our monetary system is not a law of nature, best understood by inquiry techniques suitable for studying apples falling from trees. Instead, the monetary system is a social institution, best studied by examining how it shapes people’s interests, behaviors and patterns of socialization. It has its basis in convention - comparable to the statutes of a club. As such it is subject to conscious change. It is a right, even an obligation, for a society to choose appropriate and effective agreements and systems.

4. Rethinking its money system will also be shown as one of the most powerful leverage points available in a society for creating sustainable development. If sustainability has to become a genuine and realistic aim, we must address the questions raised about the sustainability impact of our current monetary arrangements. Treating any social practice as above question, thereby running it on automatic pilot, critically inhibits our ability to plan and craft our future. This report shows how to use several tools for attaining “win-win” solutions in this domain.

5. Considering our scenario methodology: The results identify a total of six scenarios, and illustrate that even relatively small differences in initial policy conditions can have over time considerable effects, and thereby lead to very different future developments. Here, it becomes clear why the financial markets act as a critical lever with regard to a sustainable development of our economies. Out of the six scenarios, three scenarios meet our sustainability criteria. Considering the financial system, our conclusions are therefore optimistic.

6. The problems solved fall into two major categories: a) “complementary monetary innovations”, i.e. solutions that leave the current system intact, but balance out some of its negative effects and, b) “monetary reforms”, i.e. modifications in the existing monetary arrangements. Just as a ship can be made more capable of weathering storms either with the help of a longboat, or by changing its design; the stability of financial markets and their impact on sustainability could have a mixture of complementary and reform mechanisms that significantly reduce the inherent instability of the current global monetary architecture and can lead us to a sustainable future.

In the presentation for China the specific socioeconomic issues china is challenging are stressed and concrete problems-solvings beyond plan economy and market oriented economy are given, based on the cultural background of Taoismus/ Confuzianism. Hereby the link between the traditional (TCM) and western healthsector do play a major role

(1) Meadows, Donella H. and Meadows, Dennis The Limits to Growth: A Report for the Club of Rome’s Project on the Predicament of Mankind (Universe Books, March 1972). See also: Meadows, Donella; Randers, Jorgen; Meadows, Dennis: Limits to Growth: the 30-Year Update (White River Junction, VT: Chelsea Green Publishing Co, 2004).

(2) Meadows, Donella H., et al. Beyond the Limits: Confronting Global Collapse, Envisioning a Sustainable Future, (Chelsea Green Pub Co, May 1992).






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